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Rather than marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is progressively considered as a consolidation year, in which diversification-led growth becomes more deeply ingrained in the region's financial model, lowering reliance on hydrocarbons and increasing resilience to external shocks. Projections from major institutions broadly assemble on a more powerful GCC development profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by resistant domestic demand, continued non-oil growth, and (to varying degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

3.2 percent growth in 2025, accelerating to 4.5 percent in 2026. Sees momentum improving, with GCC output development predicted to increase from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, reflecting a shift towards more favorable general conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) jobs international development alleviating to 3.1 percent in 2026, with advanced economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and establishing economies just above 4 percent. On that comparison, a 4.44.5 percent GCC growth would put the area materially ahead of the world average and a little above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, enhancing the GCC's status as a reasonably high-growth pocketprovided that regional risk conditions remain contained and reform momentum holds.

Information from the GCC Statistical Center reveal that non-oil sectors currently account for more than 73 percent of total GDP, a share that has actually continued to rise as federal governments expand financial investment in services, facilities, and technology. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is predicted to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, improving credit conditions, and increasing investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector financial investment and reform remain central to sustaining this trend. Policy procedures intended at attracting foreign direct financial investment, relieving foreign ownership guidelines, expanding capital markets, and supporting private-sector involvement continue to underpin non-oil expansion and reduce the region's exposure to oil cost volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer control the development outlook, oil profits are expected to play an encouraging function in 2026.

Oxford Economics expects Brent crude prices to fall listed below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, restricting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. However, oil supply is forecast to increase once again in the second half of the year, with a full unwinding of staying production caps likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions throughout the GCC remain broadly supportive of growth. Inflation is anticipated to stay low, with the IMF forecasting typical inflation of 2 percent across the region in 2026. Steady rates are assisting preserve real household incomes and underpin customer spending, which Oxford Economics anticipates to grow by approximately 3.5 percent over 20262027.