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To reverse a decade of damaging total factor productivity, local labour market policy is shifting from simple job development to managing active workforce shifts. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as companies integrate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are heightening their focus on expense discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus remains on enhancing non-oil earnings structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and strategy partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the concern is reinforcing financial resilience through more safe trade and investment relationships, efficient AI deployment, handled labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resistant domestic demand and renewed investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outshine most global regions peers next year, with local GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing financial investment in technology and AI-related facilities.
Although oil revenues will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will stay a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of alleviated foreign ownership rules that aim to promote more investment. The financial deficit is projected to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil costs, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to alleviate inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and monetary services remain essential growth drivers, supported by population development and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to get once again in the second half of 2026, matching continuous financial investment in facilities, innovation and global trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has actually come in building varied, durable and globally competitive economies.
What Foreign Entities Need to Know About Qatari LawScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining rate, supported by robust demand and rising investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and sustained diversity efforts.
Stop Using Out-of-date Talent Retention Approaches in DubaiWhat distinguishes 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological modification, though that acceleration is genuine, however rather an essential shift in how business conceive of their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more profound improvement.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with international business results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC model's advancement.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the area, and what follows, including the growth and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in international networks of capital and trade.
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