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Rather than marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is significantly considered as a combination year, in which diversification-led growth becomes more deeply ingrained in the area's economic model, minimizing reliance on hydrocarbons and increasing durability to external shocks. Projections from significant organizations broadly assemble on a stronger GCC growth profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by resistant domestic demand, continued non-oil growth, and (to varying degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

3.2 percent growth in 2025, speeding up to 4.5 percent in 2026. Sees momentum improving, with GCC output growth forecasted to increase from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, showing a shift toward more positive overall conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) jobs global growth easing to 3.1 percent in 2026, with sophisticated economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and establishing economies just above 4 percent. On that comparison, a 4.44.5 percent GCC growth would position the region materially ahead of the world average and a little above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, enhancing the GCC's status as a fairly high-growth pocketprovided that regional risk conditions stay contained and reform momentum holds.

Data from the GCC Statistical Center reveal that non-oil sectors already represent more than 73 percent of overall GDP, a share that has actually continued to increase as governments broaden financial investment in services, facilities, and innovation. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is predicted to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, enhancing credit conditions, and increasing investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector financial investment and reform remain main to sustaining this pattern. Policy measures targeted at attracting foreign direct financial investment, easing foreign ownership rules, broadening capital markets, and supporting private-sector participation continue to underpin non-oil growth and reduce the region's exposure to oil rate volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer control the development outlook, oil earnings are anticipated to play an encouraging function in 2026.

Oxford Economics expects Brent crude rates to fall listed below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, limiting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. Oil supply is forecast to rise once again in the second half of the year, with a full unwinding of staying production caps likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions across the GCC stay broadly supportive of development. Inflation is expected to remain low, with the IMF forecasting typical inflation of 2 percent throughout the area in 2026. Steady costs are assisting maintain genuine household earnings and underpin consumer spending, which Oxford Economics anticipates to grow by an average of 3.5 percent over 20262027.