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To reverse a decade of damaging total element productivity, regional labour market policy is moving from simple job creation to handling active workforce transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more typical as companies incorporate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are intensifying their focus on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus stays on strengthening non-oil revenue structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the top priority is reinforcing financial resilience through more secure trade and investment relationships, effective AI implementation, handled workforce transitions and disciplined financial policy in a more difficult and fragmented global environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resilient domestic demand and restored financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outshine most worldwide areas peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising financial investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil revenues will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to increase again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.

Growth will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate more investment. The fiscal deficit is projected to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil costs, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to relieve inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and monetary services stay key development motorists, supported by population development and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.

Oil production is anticipated to get once again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing financial investment in infrastructure, technology and global trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has actually been available in structure varied, durable and globally competitive economies.
How Future-Focused Strategy Reshapes the Regional EconomyScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining pace, supported by robust demand and rising investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological modification, though that acceleration is real, however rather a basic shift in how enterprises conceive of their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more profound improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss duty, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will behave like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global business outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most significant strategic recalibration in the GCC model's development.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 conferences in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, consisting of the growth and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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